Monthly Debate▲ +3.21%

April 2026 — SOXX overweight, semis cycle entry

MC AI LabsApril 30, 2026· #SOXX #XLV #ITA #2026-04

TL;DR

April allocation: Semiconductors (SOXX) 38% · Healthcare (XLV) 33% · Defense (ITA) 29%. Returned +3.21% with SPY at +1.5%. Modest alpha +1.7%p.

Why SOXX 38%

Memory pricing inflection + AI capex visibility extending into H2. Round 3 consensus on cyclical bottom thesis.

What worked

SOXX delivered +5.8% in 4 weeks. Defense (ITA) +4.2% on contract awards.

What we missed

Healthcare (XLV) underperformed at +0.4%. Q1 biotech sentiment weaker than modeled.


Not investment advice.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

More in Monthly Debate

Monthly Debate— Pending

July 2026 — Healthcare holds #1, defensive thesis intact

Jun 2
Monthly Debate▲ +7.15%

June 2026 review — +7.15% hit, alpha +4.0%p

May 30
Monthly Debate▼ -2.10%

March 2026 — SOXX overweight bet (the call)

Mar 31