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Industrial Production Index

산업생산지수

1. Definition

Federal Reserve's monthly index measuring manufacturing, mining, and utility output. 2017 = 100. The most direct signal of real economic activity.

2. Reading Guide

Aligned with ISM PMI. *3-month moving average* indicates trend. Negative entry = late-cycle confirmation.

3. ETF Trading Implications

Slowdown → reduce industrials (XLI), materials (XLB). Recovery → expand cyclicals.

4. Related ETFs

6. Frequently Asked Questions

Q. Is industrial production faster than GDP?

Yes. Monthly vs quarterly. But without *services*, it only covers ~20% of US GDP. Use as secondary indicator.

Q. Should I watch Capacity Utilization too?

Yes. *Above 80% utilization* signals inflation pressure + late cycle. Below 70% = imminent recession.

Source · License

Source: Federal Reserve

License: 공공 데이터 (월 1회)

API: FRED INDPRO

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