GDPFRED: GDPC1Macro
Real GDP
실질 GDP
1. Definition
BEA's inflation-adjusted GDP, released quarterly. Reported as quarter-over-quarter annualized. 2 consecutive negative quarters = technical recession.
2. Reading Guide
Three-stage release: Advance (first) → Second (revised) → Third (final). Major revisions possible at each stage.
3. ETF Trading Implications
Above 2% = healthy. 0–2% = slowdown. 2 negative quarters = recession. Markets price in *expectations* and *trend* before release.
4. Related ETFs
6. Frequently Asked Questions
Q. Is GDP a lagging indicator?▼
Yes. Q1 GDP is first released in late April → already priced in. *Leading indicators* are PMI and NFP. GDP is for *confirmation*.
Q. Technical vs official recession — what's the difference?▼
Technical = 2 consecutive negative quarters. *Official recession* is declared post-hoc by NBER (typically 1–2 years later).
Source · License
Source: BEA · U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
License: 공공 데이터 (분기 1회)
API: FRED GDPC1